So WHO ON EARTH is going to win?
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GinAg (39)
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Switzerland is bloody lovely.
Penelope
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I don't see the contradiction.Everyone: AI is going to end humanity
AI: Ireland is coming fourth in its semi
Karma
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I keep going over all of the contenders in my brain and I can't move away from my initial reaction to Switzerland just being that it's SUCH a stand out. Even now, watching the recaps with all the entries in together, it stands out so much. It feels like a jury winner and it's "out there" enough that I can't imagine the televote not enjoying it too.
With the other contenders:
Ukraine: as others have said, will their televote still be SO high? Obviously sympathies are still there and I'm not trying to paint some kind of "battle of the wars" here but I feel like Israel's inclusion almost makes takes the headlines and makes you forget about Russia/Ukraine tensions still being very much ongoing. I also still don't really find the song that remarkable but I acknowledge others do.
Croatia: I can't picture this doing better with juries than Cha Cha Cha (unless the staging improves A LOT) and I don't see it sweeping all the 12s like Cha Cha Cha. It could win the televote but I don't think anywhere near as emphatically to make up the difference.
Italy: I do really love this, but is just being a solid pop song enough to win these days? It's my 2nd favourite, but it feels like it's missing that extra ingredient that makes it a winner.
Not entirely ruling out France either, as someone else mentioned, especially in a year with not that many ballads. But again, don't think the televote will be quite strong enough, about 5th at best there.
With the other contenders:
Ukraine: as others have said, will their televote still be SO high? Obviously sympathies are still there and I'm not trying to paint some kind of "battle of the wars" here but I feel like Israel's inclusion almost makes takes the headlines and makes you forget about Russia/Ukraine tensions still being very much ongoing. I also still don't really find the song that remarkable but I acknowledge others do.
Croatia: I can't picture this doing better with juries than Cha Cha Cha (unless the staging improves A LOT) and I don't see it sweeping all the 12s like Cha Cha Cha. It could win the televote but I don't think anywhere near as emphatically to make up the difference.
Italy: I do really love this, but is just being a solid pop song enough to win these days? It's my 2nd favourite, but it feels like it's missing that extra ingredient that makes it a winner.
Not entirely ruling out France either, as someone else mentioned, especially in a year with not that many ballads. But again, don't think the televote will be quite strong enough, about 5th at best there.
auretz
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Fans of pretty AI-generated content might like https://prof-farnsworth.fr/Eurovision2024/
bypass
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It's a cool idea, but everytime I've ran it has Ireland and Iceland qualifying, and the last time it placed the UK 7th - so I'm not sure it will prove particularly accurate
Pingu
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Oh this is fun. I'm pretty sure being able to toggle the jury and televoting odds is a new feature, right?
Honey BAMBIE THUG has 200 points.
Kratz
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It will do very well - it’s classic jury and televote bait
Kratz
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That is the obvious anomaly. I am expecting 400!
GinAg (39)
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God what a dull selection of countries.
It was nice getting the west back at the top, but now I just want Uzbekistan or Vatican.
Saltwater
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I"ve read that the eurovisionworld had to deactivate its annual poll cause he asked his fans to vote en mass.
Alla
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I don't know if Uzbekistan has saunas, a essential requirements to host it. Vatican then.
Alla
Sábado noche 19 80
To answer the question, the only one I can see winning at this point is Croatia. It could easily win the televote, and I don't understand why the juries are going to mark it down, when they placed Chachacha 4th last year. That's my bet before rehearsals.
Kratz
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Is Liechtenstein the only actual European nation to have not competed? I think so.I’m visiting Uzbekistan in two weeks’ time so I’ll report backsurely we can bring Kazakhstan into the fold at least, this is the longest Eurovision’s ever gone without a debut nation
Edit: Well, I suppose there's the Vatican also
Sorry what is their fucking problem?
Soldi
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Too busy making all those teeth
Kratz
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Hasn't yet joined the EBU
VoR
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They were genuinely all set to apply a few years ago, but then the poor old queen who had evidently made it his personal passion project abruptly DROPPED DEAD.
Dark Carnival
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bypass
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I'd love a first time win! And the most realistic prospect at the moment seems to be Croatia.
Failing that, a country that's not won in YONKS - so Switzerland.
We really don't need to heading back to Italy or Netherlands so soon - how boring
Failing that, a country that's not won in YONKS - so Switzerland.
We really don't need to heading back to Italy or Netherlands so soon - how boring
Pingu
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I’m not keen on a Europapa victory because god only knows what that would unleash next year, but I would be absolutely fine with The Netherlands winning again and getting another (proper) go at hosting after having one contest cancelled and another under strict Covid restrictions. It’s not like “we” headed there in the first place.
GinAg (39)
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The boomer review (my Dad):
Netherlands: stands a good chance, lots of fun. Liked it a lot
Croatia: He can't sing, sounds like too many other entries
Switzerland: Didn't hate it, but not excited by it.
Cyprus: Mediocre to good album track
Sweden: this will grow, its got something. The performance looked good.
Lithuania: Catchy but not groundbreaking
Belgium: Bit sombre by comparison
Ireland: His face watching this was priceless. Like watching a human taking a shit on his carpet. "It's different but its gone too far"
Italy: Potential winner. She's a great performer
Spain: It's okish. Hated the male dancers. Won't win.
UK: Not initially impressed. Acknowledged it was better than most of our output. Not bad
Poland: Likely flop.
Ukraine: Into this. Likely winner
Netherlands: stands a good chance, lots of fun. Liked it a lot
Croatia: He can't sing, sounds like too many other entries
Switzerland: Didn't hate it, but not excited by it.
Cyprus: Mediocre to good album track
Sweden: this will grow, its got something. The performance looked good.
Lithuania: Catchy but not groundbreaking
Belgium: Bit sombre by comparison
Ireland: His face watching this was priceless. Like watching a human taking a shit on his carpet. "It's different but its gone too far"
Italy: Potential winner. She's a great performer
Spain: It's okish. Hated the male dancers. Won't win.
UK: Not initially impressed. Acknowledged it was better than most of our output. Not bad
Poland: Likely flop.
Ukraine: Into this. Likely winner